Triple X, the insurance regulation that makes
larger insurance company reserves a requirement in 37 states, has not
created the dramatic premium increases or reduced sales that were
predicted when the regulation became effective on Jan. 1, 2000,
according to a study released by Conning & Co. on Feb. 12, 2001.
Triple
X, or Regulation XXX, is a regulation promoted by the National
Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) that dictates how much
moneylife insurance companies must have in reserves to pay for term life insurance
benefits. The NAIC believed that life insurers' reserves were too low,
which could imperil their ability to pay future claims. In addition,
the NAIC believed some companies were offering premium rates for term
life that were too inexpensive, which would make it difficult for those
companies to keep enough money in reserve.
| Triple X did not cause the widely predicted premium rate jumps of up to 50 percent. |
Conning says "the jury is out on Regulation XXX's impact on cost and
profitability." In its first year, Triple X did not cause the widely
predicted premium rate jumps of up to 50 percent, with prices rising
only moderately. Sales are maintaining a 10 to 11 percent annual growth
rate.
Conning says intense price competition in the term life
industry has meant relatively stable premiums for term life insurance,
although several major insurers saw premium hikes for 20- and 30-year
term policies. Those insurers are domiciled in states that enacted
Triple X and had very low prices before the regulation was adopted.
Their price hikes were counteracted by other companies who are
domiciled in non-Triple X states, who increased rates very little or
even reduced rates. And insurers domiciled in New York, which adopted
Triple X, are actually enjoying less-stringent reserve requirements now
than under New York's previous reserve regulations. Conning concludes
that if more states adopt Triple X, more insurers will be forced to
comply with its reserve requirements, causing a more dramatic premium
increase.
Insurers are responding to Triple X by
emphasizing permanent life products and developing new term products,
Conning reports, concluding that the term life marketplace "will remain
attractive" but also competitive, with sales continuing to grow by 10
to 11 percent annually. Price competition will be insurers' main
strategy, driving prices down and forcing insurers to confront
expenses, particularly distribution costs. That could mean declining
commissions and rising direct and Internet sales as insurers seek to
maximize profit by cutting costs.
Conning surveyed 24 companies that account for 35 percent of term life insurance first-year premiums.
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